ABSTRACT
The degree of
confusion/illusion and domestic revenue wastages by GSM subscribers due to GSM
promotional products increase annually. The GSM network operators are often
ingenious and are typically motivated by money, anonymity or both. Due to the
rising competition in the GSM promotion, network operators are becoming more
collaborative, and as a result, more ingenious. Because of this, comparison of
GSM promotion subscribers’ application services is required as an advisor to
keep pace with the numerous promotional products churn out by GSM Operators
regularly. A system to compare GSM promotion subscribers in changing GSM
operations with high impact on time is proposed. The study uses Scheffe’s
Method of Pair Wise Multiple Comparison techniques to detect the significant
differences between the subscribers’ data and rank the alternatives to
determine the best promotion and applied the multivariate analysis in evaluating the last releases to help us improve
the processes. The system compares the potential and profitable GSM
promotion subscriptions drawn from twenty states across the six geo-political
zones in Nigeria for effective decision making. The system has been developed
using AJAX for UI, JAVA as a development language, Netbeans as a development
environment and Microsoft Visio as an UML tool for analysis & design. The
analysis of the data shows a reasonably strong correlation between the input
variables. The result shows that more than 87% of the outputs were accurate.
From the result that has been produced, multivariate
analysis and Scheffe’s Method of Multiple Comparison has the potential
to be used for comparing GSM promotion subscriptions.
CHAPTER
ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.1
Background
GSM promotion subscribers are increasing and
changing frequently resulting in higher degree of confusion in comparison and
selection of the right GSM operators that provides low tariff promotion
products, hence, the loss of billions of domestic revenue worldwide annually by
different subscribers. The history of GSM promotion was reviewed by Coyles and
Gokey (2005). The promotion subscribers’ comparison is the act or process of
examining two or more set of promotion subscribers in order to discover
similarities and differences between them. The GSM promotion subscribers’
comparison is an identified process for examining two or more set of GSM promotion
subscribers in order to discover similarities and differences between them. It
has identified itself as one of the remedies for domestic revenue wastage by
subscribers.
According to the International Journal of Business
and Social Sciences; The Determinants
of Customer Loyalty in Nigeria’s GSM Market; Volume 3, No 14, page 210 (Special
Issue – July 2012) – The explosive growth rate in the market has thrown up
intense rivalry among the GSM operators and necessitated the need to engage in
marketing activities that would enable them to retain a large chunk of their
customers and make them loyal. The resultant competition has led to the
reduction in tariff, introduction of new and innovative products, advertising
blitz, rising sales promotion, and innovative customer service. The choice of
these promotion products and subscription in GSM networks has been a problem
that has always beleaguered the base line of subscribers who are interested in
different packages according to their requirements/benefits.
According to
Deng et al (1998) the ability of a service provider to create high degree of
satisfaction is crucial for subscription differentiation and developing strong
relationship with the user. The lure of this satisfaction derived from promotion
subscription differentiation and development turns many people into an ocean of
confusion/illusion facing the stress of which network and/or package to
subscribe to.
With the competition becoming tough, service
providers realized that retaining one’s existing customer base is important as
much as the acquiring of a new customer (Coyles and Gokey (2005)). The
situation, according to Long and Chun (2004) makes mobile telecommunication
companies not only to promote their service quality, but also change their
marketing core strategy to holding their existing customers by enhancing and
optimizing the customer loyalty. In the light of this intense competition, the
major challenge confronting all the mobile operators in Nigeria, therefore is
the determination, comparison, selection and execution of promotion
subscriptions that would not only lead to attraction of new subscribers, but
also retention of the existing ones who would then become loyal customers. This generated strong argument on the quest
for subscription differentiation and development as identified by Deng et al.
Consequently, great number of GSM promotion products is released on the daily
basis. Considering this, there is a need for the comparison of GSM promotion
subscribers which is basically ignored in our society and cause a lot of
damages to mobile network operators’ financial and customer base, rendering
subscribers to change service providers regularly.
Price plays a vital role in telecommunication market
especially for the mobile telecommunication service providers (Kollmann (2000)).
Customers can suffer from indiscriminate tariff/service charges due to loss of
confidence in benefits attached to a particular promotion package and can also
experience ‘overcharged bills’ (that is, bills that could be ordinarily lesser
if the right promotion package is subscribed to) due to lack of loyalty to a
particular GSM promotion provider that serve them best at a given period. It is
therefore necessary according to Gustafsson et al. (1998) for a
telecommunication service provider to concentrate on the improvement of service
quality and charge appropriate fair price in order to satisfy its subscribers
which will ultimately help in retaining them. Hence, proper comparison of these
essential promotion subscribers has become inevitable so as to estimate and
engage those with fair prices.
On the other hand, Ahn et al (2003) noted that users
get satisfied to a brand more if they get all the needed services accumulated
in that very brand. Consequently, subscribers attach themselves to those brands
that usually provide the needed and accumulated qualities. Therefore, there is
a need for both network operators and potential subscribers to have an
effective, current, fast and accurate automated system that should be able to
compare different set of promotion subscribers (considering all the embedded
and accumulated services) with each other within or between networks.
Nigeria has maintained its lead as African’s largest
telecom market with active subscribers of 92,006,608 by the end of February,
2012 (Nigerian Communications Commission (2012), relegating South Africa to
second place with about 60 million subscribers. This represents a tele-density
of 68.68% up from a tele-density of 0.73% in 2001. The more we experience high
growth of subscribers the more different promotion packages are developed and
confusion in the choice of suitable GSM promotion service provider. More so,
the high growth of subscribers resulting in impressive financial performance of
the GSM providers has necessitated the need to examine the factors that
minimize the rate of domestic income expenditure/wastage (on the side of
subscribers) and influence customer loyalty in the market (on the side of GSM
service providers).
In today’s market, the mobile technology has been
extremely competitive and service providers are moving aggressively to attract
versatile subscribers by offering some meaningful attractive promotions and
services. The comparison and estimation of these set of promotion subscribers
become an integral part of the processes to this attraction as to enable
different service providers achieve this major objective.
The image of a service provider is also a
consideration to a subscriber and according to Lambert (1999), brand plays an
important role in user’s selection of service provider even when the call rate
offered by that provider is high. It is therefore, an affirmation that GSM
subscribers often attribute quality to branded products on the basis of price,
brand reputation, store image, market share, product features and service
provider. This serves as a major reason for proper comparison of the set of promotion
subscribers to avoid fatal lost of domestic income due to the associated
illusion created by the service providers.
The mobile operators are concerned about changes in
users’ behavior in response to its service offerings. Hence any development in
the telecom sector is of great concern to the mobile subscribers and the mobile
operators and it is physically seen in promotion subscriptions which models
directly the needs and benefits of the promotion to different subscribers. The
comparison, estimation and engagement of these promotion subscription become an
integral part of the reaction to this effect as to enable different service
providers achieve their major objective.
The aim of this project is to develop a system to
compare the set of GSM promotion subscribers within large quantity and
camouflaged GSM promotion services providers. In particular, this study focused
on the identification of promotion services providers whose behaviour has made
Nigerian mobile subscribers to appreciate more the importance of minimizing the
income used on the service. For this problem the objectives was to compare and
estimate promotion subscription while minimizing domestic income wastage. This
study was conducted with real data obtained from Nigerian Communications
Commission in Nigeria.
1.2
Statement of the Problem
The focus is to create a sophisticated system to
compare and estimate GSM promotion subscribers of large quantity and camouflaged
promotion products release on a daily basis by GSM promotion services providers
in Nigeria.
There are a lot of
limitations with the current manual systems for comparing and estimating the promotion
subscription because of the huge quantity of the promotions in circulation, the
increase in different promotion packages, the rise in competition among the
service providers, the sophisticated nature of the products, the frequency of
introduction of new products and similarities in the features of the products
which have allowed each to be seen as the best, thereby confusing subscribers.
However, the major problem in the promotion subscription comparison application
is to choose the suitable matching technique for comparing the promotion
subscription; hence, the motivation for this study by using multivariate Analysis and Scheffe’s
Method of Pair Wise Multiple Comparison technique.
An efficient comparison
of promotion subscription application services can help subscribers to diminish
their sufferings from major revenue losses. To conquer this problem, the
subscribers to GSM Service Providers like Globacom, MTN, Airtel, Etisalat,
Visafone etc. need a system that is competent in comparing and estimating a
suitable promotion subscription. Therefore, the suggested Comparison of GSM Promotion
Subscribers Application Services which would enable the subscribers to respond
to the best and suitable GSM promotion service providers can be a tool to help
improve the existing circumstances.
1.3
Objectives of the Study
The main objective of this project is to create a
system to compare and estimate promotion subscriptions. The system developed
should be able to:
- Compare GSM promotion subscribers’ data.
- Compare selected GSM promotion
subscriptions using multivariate
analysis and Scheffe’s Method of Pair Wise Multiple Comparison
technique.
- Significance of the Study
The
proposed research will help in the following ways;
- The findings will provide an overview of
the usage of multivariate analysis and Scheffe’s
Method of Pair Wise Multiple Comparison technique for the comparison of GSM promotion
subscribers’ application services.
- Quickening the process of investigation
for GSM promotion subscription.
- The domestic revenue wastages due to GSM
promotion products will be minimized; hence maximizing domestic income savings
for GSM subscribers, once the solution is validated and implemented.
- The research findings will help GSM
service providers to have a constant maintenance culture of their customer
loyalty.
- The research findings will create more
awareness to deal with disguised/faked promotion subscriptions initiators in
the GSM world.
- Suggested solutions will add more
knowledge on the ways to comparing promotion subscribers in GSM.
- Suggested solutions can be used by the
user as a recommendation in heightening the use of comparison of GSM promotion
subscribers’ application services model.
- Scope
of the Study
The scope of this
project is to develop a system for comparing GSM promotion subscribers. This
system will focus on comparing as many GSM promotion subscribers as possible.
The system will use multivariate analysis and Scheffe’s Method of Pair Wise
Multiple Comparison techniques to compare GSM promotion subscribers and also
use real data provided by Nigerian Communications Commission in Nigeria.
- Definitions
of Relevant Terms used in the ResearchGSM Promotion
The commercial activity or package aimed at
encouraging or advertising the patronage of GSM promotional products.
- GSM Promotion Subscribers
This
is the technical words for the consumers of GSM promotional products.
- GSM Promotion Subscribers’ Data
This is statistical raw facts for the set of
consumers of GSM promotional products.
- GSM Promotion Subscribers’
Comparison
The GSM promotion subscribers’ comparison is an
identified process for examining two or more set of GSM promotion subscribers
in order to discover similarities and differences between them.
- GSM Promotion Provider
This simply means the GSM Network Operator that is
involved in rendering GSM promotional products for the subscribers.
- Best Promotion
This is GSM operator with the largest number of promotion subscribers in a state or geo-political area or Nigeria, and high regard for time.